January 2014 Review +$20,595.02

Another month hitting it’s target. January saw a turnover of $443,059.00 with a $20,595.02 profit which is a ROI of 4.65%.

We had two losing Sports which were Tennis and Soccer. Tennis would have been much worse, but ClubGOWI won a big bet with Li Na capturing the Aussie open crown. He also did great with the rest of the Women’s tournament.

ClubGOWI really needs his own section, as it isn’t just Soccer that he advises. I have actually made a loss with his Soccer bets, but his Tennis and NFL have made a healthy profit. We have had a few heated arguments over email as he feels I cast a bad light over his service. Even though I can be quite harsh in my criticism of tipsters, I feel my assessment is honest given the facts at hand. I’m sure you are all sick of me banging on about attainable odds and how tipsters record these. For every tipster I follow they do this differently, some just take best price, some take best Pinnacle price at release, some take best price 15 minutes after release, others take an average. There are a million ways to skin this cat and just as many validations for it. At the end of the day I feel the recorded odds should be those that the majority of members can get.

Keith posted his January results on his blog and there were 153 bets, which produced 32.9 units profit at a ROI of 21.58%. This should have equated to a $13,160 profit for me. My profits were 30% less at $9,345 at a ROI of 15.1%. I am at my computer 95% of the time at release and over January my odds were 4.9% worse then advised. I believe being in Australia that I may be getting the emails a few seconds after everyone else and as we know by the current uproar of Sporting Data, this makes a huge difference. It’s just something I will need to accept and the 5% worse odds correlates to a 5% worse ROI. Taking this into consideration and looking at his historical return of 13%, I can hope for a best of 8% return. I would take that any day of the week.

The service is professionally run and the write ups are amazing. If you have the time, you can actually find more of your own bets from the information given. My whole philosophy is the least amount of work for the greatest gain, so I just bet the red selections and that’s it. Still early days for this service, but it has potential.

The Sportpunter ATP model had a amazing first day at the Aussie open with over $7,000 profit, followed by loss after loss after loss for the rest of the month. A $6,600 loss for the month. Football Elite started a mini comeback with $4,000 profit but Skeeve added a $7,000 loss to start the year. Combo Football Investor is my most consistent service, making $6,100 for the month. TFA started the year with an absolute shocker, losing $16,500 and even more of my faith in the model.

The winners were as per usual Basketball, and a few suprises with Golf, NFL and NHL adding some much needed profit.

The NBL model alone added $18,600 profit and NBA historically produces a loss from the new year, but managed to scrape a small $650 profit. Nics Picks finally got a win, a very nice $6,500 profit and a few second places which could have really made it an amazing month. NHL arrested the terrible slide it was on with $5,700 profit.

NBL has really saved my arse this season. Soccer has been an absolute nightmare and a break-even season would be a massive win for me from here. After an $85,000 loss in September and October, we have regained $79,000 in the past 3 months. As I said in the December review, this is the time of year where my graph shoots up rapidly, so far so good and I hope for an equally strong February.

Combined Totals
Tennis $97,001.00 $(1,569.53) -1.6%
Soccer $185,708.00 $(8,536.00) -4.6%
Basketball $88,445.00 $19,859.08 22.5%
Golf $4,900.00 $4,961.00 101.2%
NFL $7,705.00 $730.10 9.5%
NHL $58,700.00 $5,750.37 9.8%

Individual Models
ATP – SP $91,701.00 $(6,629.53) -7.2%
FB Elite $36,000.00 $4,075.00 11.3%
Skeeve $19,200.00 $(6,960.00) -36.3%
Combo FI $17,625.00 $6,101.38 34.6%
6-22 $2,750.00 $(1,312.50) -47.7%
7-21 $4,750.00 $(910.00) -19.2%
7-22 $2,250.00 $(1,062.50) -47.2%
8-21 $3,000.00 $(1,830.00) -61.0%
8-22 $1,750.00 $(1,500.00) -85.7%
31-42 $13,750.00 $(1,832.50) -13.3%
33-41 $2,500.00 $(1,385.00) -55.4%
33-42 $2,000.00 $(885.00) -44.3%
TOX $8,000.00 $(1,644.50) -20.6%
STOY $7,750.00 $(1,644.50) -21.2%
STOZ $11,250.00 $(4,567.00) -40.6%
D3-D6 $2,833.00 $1,033.42 36.5%
D3-D7 $1,500.00 $1,037.50 69.2%
NP Win $2,700.00 $6,525.00 241.7%
NBL Totals $21,879.00 $17,601.80 80.5%
NBL Line $19,286.00 $1,010.95 5.2%
NBA Totals $26,310.00 $(96.96) -0.4%
NBA H2H $21,570.00 $743.29 3.4%
NFL Totals $2,105.00 $(368.70) -17.5%
NHL Totals $58,700.00 $5,750.37 9.8%
ClubGowi $61,900.00 $9,345.00 15.1%