Sep 26th – Oct 2nd -$5,696.27

This week saw the end of the AFL season and a game I had a very tough time watching. I was barracking for my Local team, but had $5,500 on the other team. My team won but it really didn’t feel all that great. It was an absolutely brilliant game with both sides having chances to win it. That ends the season for the Sportpunter AFL model and looking back it was a pretty decent season. H2H betting ended the year $10,559.98 up and Line betting ended $38,917.57 up. A total profit of $49,477.55. The last 3 months of the season I had increased my bank by 50% which resulted in a $6,000 loss. Starting banks for each were $50,000, so a 50% ROC over the two models. Apparently next season the model will be player based, I’m not sure Jonno should be changing a winning model, but he usually knows what he is doing (apart from on the golf course) and hopefully this will add further profits next year.

This week, Football Investor also came out with a new system, it is called the Combo system and only has bets that are in both FI and Strikezone models. This will bring down the amount of bets I will be placing, but much like FB analyst, will deliver better picks and higher profits. I have scrapped the other two models and will now be placing $500 flat bets on all Combo selections. Going of past results, which sadly is the only option, it looks like this model should achieve a profit of 116 points per season. Factoring in poorer odds and I’ll be hoping to make 75% of that which is 87 x $500 = $43,500. We will see how close we get at the end of the season.

So now a quick look at what happened this week. As mentioned above AFL lost $5,500. Tennis lost another $4,400 and it’s looking like the best I can hope for is a break even year. Horse racing continues its horror run and added a loss of $3,200. These were the 3 models I was so happy with at the start of the year and apart from AFL, they have not gone well lately. All 3 totalled a loss of $13,100 this week.

I made some of that back with the sport that really underperformed last year but has started amazingly well this season. The XX Draws and unders lost $3,450, but the extended picks made $4,500 profit. FB Elite lost $4,000 and Skeeve lost $1,000. The new Combo system got off to a good start with $1,500 profit. Finally, all 5 FB Analyst systems made very healthy profits for a total return of close to $10,000.

Another week over and after 3 months of my 3rd year I’m still to make any profit. July made $6,066, August was terrible with a loss of $18,762 and September turned things around with $7,016 profit. Let’s hope that October is the kickstart that gets me on my way to $200,000 profit.

The new bank amounts are below. (If a bank isn’t mentioned below then I am using a constant bank for it)

AFL H2H: $80932
AFL Line: $75000
ATP: $75000
WTA: $75000

Total loss for the week was $5,696.27

Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $746,616.00
Profit/Loss: $(3,454.72)
POT: -0.46%

Bets Placed: 1,076
Won: 452
Lost: 601
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 21
Winning %: 42.9%

Profit per day: $112,629.00 / 825 = $136.52

AFL H2H – SP $26,047.00 $5,932.35 22.8%
week profit/loss: -1500

AFL Line – SP $149,871.00 $(11,958.98) -8.0%
week profit/loss: -3970

ATP – SP $138,664.00 $(3,846.43) -2.8%
week profit/loss: 792.99

WTA -SP $156,164.00 $(5,456.36) -3.5%
week profit/loss: -5187.81

New Horses $110,769.00 $(3,987.00) -3.6%
week profit/loss: -3225

XX Draws $12,000.00 $(2,545.00) -21.2%
week profit/loss: -3000

XX Draws Under $12,000.00 $(3,385.00) -28.2%
week profit/loss: -450.50

XX Extended $28,000.00 $2,686.50 9.6%
week profit/loss: 2445

XX Extended Under $28,000.00 $4,921.50 17.6%
week profit/loss: 2082

FB Elite $12,050.00 $159.20 1.3%
week profit/loss: -4000

Skeeve $37,416.00 $(2,606.20) -7.0%
week profit/loss: -997.20

6-22 $7,125.00 $3,183.75 44.7%
week profit/loss: 3806.25

7-21 $9,000.00 $5,472.75 60.8%
week profit/loss: 2407.50

7-22 $3,810.00 $3,318.75 87.1%
week profit/loss: 1751.25

8-21 $4,500.00 $2,456.25 54.6%
week profit/loss: 1263.75

8-22 $3,000.00 $1,417.50 47.3%
week profit/loss: 615

Combo FI $4,000.00 $1,470.50 36.8%
week profit/loss: 1470.50