Sep 11 – Sep 17th -$26,803.25
What a killer week. There were some positives, but mostly a terrible, horrible, disgusting week. My confidence was well up for the year until this week. Now it’s back to the same level it was when I started out, no real idea where the graph will go. Vegas has been good to me with over $4,000 profit from the BJ tables, but I would happily give that up to have this weeks loss reversed.
TFA really started this week with a heap of bets for Saturday and with 29 bets and 1 winner, let’s just say it was a terrible way to wake up. Another heap of bets midweek and another small loss with a few big bets getting close. A terrible start and some worrying signs odds wise. As I bet a fair chunk, I can never get on in one go and am not quick enough to beat the others, so I usually need to spread my bets out over the day and usually bet the majority just before the match. On today’s games I did quite well, with an average of only 2.4% worse odds, but the real telling factor were the winning games, these odds I got were 12.3% worse then recorded odds. I’m sure over the course of the season this will be the same case as the better bets will go down while the not so strong ones will stay around the same price or go out further. I’ll see how it goes for the season and next season I might just bet those games that have 10% or greater worse odds at the start of the game. A total loss of $13,000 this week.
I was ready to write Skeeve off on Friday night, another 2 losses and things were looking horrendous. But he came back on the weekend and made some profit, the first week and I’m hopeful this gives him some confidence and is a sign that things will get better and that we are not chasing our tails for most of the season once again. $3,700 made.
FB Elite had another loss, but whats new. Combo Football Investor started with 1 win for $400 profit. So Soccer is already down almost $20,000 in the first month and i’ll be chasing these losses again this year. If it can’t make a sizable profit this season then I will have to admit defeat with my favorite sport.
AFL finals have been terrible as well, this week there were only 2 bets and both lost by just a few points, $10,000 lost over the two bets. Tennis also lost $900 this week on very small turnover. MLB also added to the misery with $6,000 lost. Not sure what I will do next season with this model. The other American sport was also terrible with $3,800 lost on the NFL. OTP NRL made $100.
Onto the few positives. Skeeve as mentioned earlier had a profitable week, but the big positive was my first Golf win. I’m still at a loss since I started, but it was good to get one on the board and I’m excited about another early win to push me into a healthy profit, always much easier to bet with profits.
So that’s it for one of my worst ever weeks, not sure if it’s the worst ever but could be. The only upside is that if I can lose this much in a week then I can just as easily make it back. I just hope there are never two weeks in a row like this.
Back to the tables to try and claw back some of these losses.
Total loss for the week was $26,803.25
Stats Year 4
Total bet amount: $653,389.00
Profit/Loss: $7,513.06
POT: 1.15%
Bets Placed: 941
Won: 380
Lost: 548
Half Payout: 0
Refunded: 13
Winning %: 40.9%
Total profit per day: $195,035.15 / 1175 = $165.98
Total Turnover: $10,403,218.53
Total ROI: 1.87%
AFL H2H – SP $23,915.00 $4,675.20 19.5%
week profit/loss: -330
AFL Line – SP $174,620.00 $33,893.64 19.4%
week profit/loss: -9580
ATP – SP $108,642.00 $4,254.84 3.9%
week profit/loss: -900.65
FB Elite $6,000.00 $(3,630.00) -60.5%
week profit/loss: -1000
Skeeve $21,600.00 $(5,845.80) -27.1%
week profit/loss: 3763.80
Combo FI $500.00 $390.00 78.0%
week profit/loss: 390
6-22 $1,050.00 $(1,050.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: -700
7-21 $2,600.00 $(206.00) -7.9%
week profit/loss: -986
7-22 $350.00 $(350.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: -350
8-21 $1,050.00 $(1,050.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: -1050
8-22 $350.00 $(350.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: -350
31-42 $4,250.00 $(1,856.00) -43.7%
week profit/loss: -2286
33-41 $1,300.00 $134.00 10.3%
week profit/loss: -700
33-42 $871.00 $(871.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: -871
TOX $5,650.00 $(1,436.00) -25.4%
week profit/loss: -1866
STOY $5,650.00 $(1,453.50) -25.7%
week profit/loss: -1883.50
STOZ $7,650.00 $(1,224.50) -16.0%
week profit/loss: -1654.50
D3-D6 $350.00 $(350.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: -350
D3-D7 $- $-
week profit/loss:
OTP NRL $30,000.00 $5,169.50 17.2%
week profit/loss: 120
MLB H2H $134,069.00 $(15,856.42) -11.8%
week profit/loss: -3297.97
MLB Totals $98,479.00 $(1,642.91) -1.7%
week profit/loss: -2728.12
NFL Totals $16,695.00 $(2,920.99) -17.5%
week profit/loss: -3841.31
NP Win $5,173.00 $(580.00) -11.2%
week profit/loss: 3798
NP Place $1,975.00 $269.00 13.6%
week profit/loss: -150
NP trades $600.00 $(600.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0
Eventually i decided to stop with skeeve. He seemed to have lost his edge few months ago. He is just ridiculous… saying in his last email stopping the 4 pts and sending last week a 3pts asian +1 combo and this week another 4… i realysse pissed off.
Gl for you anyway.
Hi Damian,
It seems you made a great decision. Been terrible lately and I’ve not got much hope for a profit this season. This will be my last season with him unless he can make the same sort of profit his past history describes.
Have seen nothing in his picks that give me any sort of confidence.