The great run did have to end sometime and that came this week with a $5k loss. Soccer again ended the week with another $2150 loss, if another loss is recorded next week there is nothing left to do but stop betting it until the new season, something I should have down a month ago. Baseball had a small loss and AFL was profitable again with a $2.6k win. Tennis continues to frustrate with a small loss again. All the profits from last weeks NRL were taken back this week. The NHL season is now in the playoffs and there has been some talk about the amount of scoring in the playoffs compared to regular season, I am sticking with the model to the end of the season. Looks like after a whole season I will end up down a little or close to zero, it feels like such a waste of time. The Golf continued its losing run with 11 bets and no winners. With the large odds on offer here, it will only take 1 winner to get back into profit.
I subscribe to a number of other betting blogs and it seems they are having a hard time of it lately. All I can say to them is that I know how you feel. If you look back just 6 weeks I was at the lowest in my betting career, but if you have a sound portfolio and are backing value things will turn around, just don’t make any drastic changes and things will eventually improve.
Some site maintenance in regard to Formbet. Dave has come up with a new spreadsheet which automates all the bets. This is a great improvement and saves me about 30 minutes a night, which I am very grateful for. But that means it is much more difficult to update all the different models that are followed by Formbet. So now there will only be a single Formbet total which will encompass the TOP3, back and Value bets as well as a few other bets. The issue here to is that it will not give a real ROI or amount bet as all i can put in each day is the total won or lost. So this week it says I bet a little over $9,000, that is way off, it was closer to $25,000. So don’t take the ROI of that system to heart. It will also have a small impact on the Total ROI but there is nothing I can really do about it. The new spreadsheet and bot does break down each different model and once in a while I will post those results here.
Total loss for the week was $5,068.63
Baseball $232,469.01 $9,406.49 4.0%
Week profit/loss: -1984.38
Baseball Line $287,958.00 $23,144.37 8.0%
Week profit/loss: 1369.61
AFL $33,324.00 $4,788.46 14.4%
Week profit/loss: -1336.25
AFL line $49,063.00 $15,120.60 30.8%
Week profit/loss: 2525.31
AFL Totals $23,585.00 $5,010.00 21.2%
Week profit/loss: 1462.80
Soccer H2H $157,451.00 $5,015.68 3.2%
Week profit/loss: -2259.45
Over Soccer $94,699.00 $4,061.79 4.3%
Week profit/loss: 591
Under Soccer $203,101.00 $(1,913.25) -0.9%
Week profit/loss: -482.52
Tennis – ATP $225,746.00 $(7,325.26) -3.2%
Week profit/loss: -992.29
WTA – Tennis $195,564.00 $2,362.75 1.2%
Week profit/loss: 542
NRL $15,077.00 $(5,373.77) -35.6%
Week profit/loss: -908.98
NHL – Totals $167,313.00 $(1,704.79) -1.0%
Week profit/loss: -1109.48
Horse Racing $87,652.00 $(942.60) -1.1%
Week profit/loss: -1031
Golf $9,223.00 $(3,331.25) -36.1%
Week profit/loss: -1100
TOP3 $42,656.00 $5,634.00 13.2%
Week profit/loss: -1655
Value $10,500.00 $3,204.00 30.5%
Week profit/loss: 0
FB Elite $6,050.00 $(267.95) -4.4%
Week profit/loss: 28
Yellow&Green $2,800.00 $(1,600.00) -57.1%
Week profit/loss: 0
Formbet $9,280.00 $1,272.00 13.7%
Week profit/loss: 1272
Stats
Total bet amount: $2,223,573.37
Profit/Loss: $31,108.02
POT: 1.4%
Bets Placed: 5,956
Won: 2,368
Lost: 3,368
Half Payout: 3
Refunded: 217
Winning %: 41.3%
Profit per day: 31,108.02 / 293 = $106.17