Apr 24th – Apr 30th +$20,846.51
A real week of milestones. Over $9,000,000 bet, hitting over $200,000 profit, highest profit level of the year and a few dollars short of averaging $200 a day. The first 4 months of 2013 have been incredible. Jan 1st I was sitting at -$27,000 for the year and hoping that by July 1st I would be break even. It had been a horrible first 6 months to my 3rd year of betting, The majority of the time I was in the negative 20-40k range and did not see things improving. Jan 2013 resulted in a loss, but since February, it has been nothing but big winning months. Perseverance has really paid off.
This week finally broke the shackles for April. It was looking like a breakeven month until this weekend. The major contributors were AFL, Tennis, MLB and XX Draws.
AFL had a perfect week. Every line bet winning and netting close to $15,000 profit. Could this be the start of an awesome player based model run? I sure hope so, as this is the only model I am following with a moving bank.
ATP continues it’s brilliant form and really looking forward to the two majors coming up. Just shy of $4,000 profit for the week. MLB has also had a brilliant start, adding $6,000 profit for the week. OTP NRL had a great week too, bringing in $1,700
Soccer was the only sport to have an off week. Football Elite went 0-3 again and lost another $6,000, absolutely disgraceful, I think in the last 15 bets there has only been 1 or 2 winners. XX Draws made another nice profit and that’s usually the case when other soccer models don’t perform. It added $3,300. Combi FI lost $2,000 and TFA Established and Euro lost $800
I just love these $20,000 weeks, with Soccer coming to an end I thought they would be a rarer occurrence. But if AFL can keep performing and the other Sportpunter models chip in with a few thousand each week then we might see a few more of them. Very excited to pass the $200,000 mark within 3 years and as my bank and bets grow, I hope to see $300,000 profit by the end of this year.
Total profit for the week was $20,846.51
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,242,615.91
Profit/Loss: $88,840.45
POT: 2.74%
Bets Placed: 5,082
Won: 2,092
Lost: 2,852
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 136
Winning %: 42.3%
Profit per day: $204,924.17 / 1035 = $197.99
AFL H2H – SP $55,693.00 $9,431.28 16.9%
week profit/loss: 837.75
AFL Line – SP $290,430.00 $3,958.24 1.4%
week profit/loss: 13996.63
ATP – SP $399,142.00 $16,065.14 4.0%
week profit/loss: 3884.43
OTP NRL $20,000.00 $(1,377.00) -6.9%
week profit/loss: 1684.50
MLB H2H $42,919.00 $3,166.83 7.4%
week profit/loss: 2073.50
MLB Totals $77,455.00 $8,450.02 10.9%
week profit/loss: 3898.45
XX Draws $63,000.00 $(10,005.00) -15.9%
week profit/loss: 775
XX Draws Under $63,000.00 $(3,003.50) -4.8%
week profit/loss: -35
XX Extended $138,000.00 $17,336.00 12.6%
week profit/loss: 540
XX Extended Under $137,694.00 $4,407.00 3.2%
week profit/loss: 1990
FB Elite $280,819.00 $(26,154.97) -9.3%
week profit/loss: -6000
Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0
Combo FI $236,729.00 $18,350.50 7.8%
week profit/loss: -1985
6-22 $73,315.00 $7,766.75 10.6%
week profit/loss: 292.50
7-21 $116,735.00 $9,914.50 8.5%
week profit/loss: -56.25
7-22 $49,185.00 $4,625.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: -750
8-21 $56,375.00 $8,080.38 14.3%
week profit/loss: 318.75
8-22 $31,513.00 $1,584.13 5.0%
week profit/loss: -375
E1-E7 $67,580.00 $2,464.01 3.6%
week profit/loss: -1098.75
E2-E6 $77,662.00 $6,204.89 8.0%
week profit/loss: 26.25
E2-E7 $39,375.00 $9,287.26 23.6%
week profit/loss: 26.25
E3-E6 $28,875.00 $2,451.75 8.5%
week profit/loss: 401.25
E3-E7 $16,125.00 $4,548.75 28.2%
week profit/loss: 401.25
Congratulations Mate – nice way to be making a living! Can I just ask, with the Sportspunter models are you always getting the prices quoted? I know you mentioned you had issues with MLB last week. Is it not the case that with the likes of tennis and AFL that with a few people all betting at the same time, if you don’t get on the instant released, you are having to take worse prices?
Hey Brian,
Thanks. Still not the way I’m making a living, but hopefully one day.
With regards to Sportpunter prices, with Tennis, if I bet at the time of release then I get better odds (as Jonno only takes pinnacle odds), AFL you have to be there when they come out as prices and lines drop quickly. We are trying a few different things on the forum at the moment to minimise this. With the MLB, it looked like someone was using a bot to place big bets and that has now been fixed by releasing onto the forum first.
As with any profitable model, the prices will drop and you need to get in quick. I would say Sportpunter’s quoted odds are by far the closest to the real things. I’d also add in TFA quoted odds. Some tipsters quote odds that maybe 1 person can get at a bookie that offers a max bet of $10. But that’s a post for another time.
Hope this helps.
Steve