Closing in on $6 million bet in year 5 and it’s looking like one of those years. A lot of stress, worry and some joy that at the end of the day produces nothing but a waste of time and energy. This week was like many others, giving me hope that things were on the rise with me sitting on $40,000 profit on Saturday night and than taking it all away when I woke up to another horror soccer morning. As I slept, $22,000 was recouped by the bookies. More was given back on Sunday night for one of the worst Soccer weekends yet. Every time I say this I get emails saying, just give up Soccer and follow Sportpunter. I always reply that you need to be diversified, Soccer this season has accounted for 50% of my turnover and $31,600 profit at 1.1% ROI. So even though the swings have been massive, it has kept me in the game. But after 5 years and a negative return, we will see a whole new portfolio in regards to Football next season.
Onto this weeks results and AFL has gotten off to its traditionally awesome start. Adding $13,300 profit this week. The improved limits at Pinnacle seems to have had an impact on the Aussie books as they seem more willing to accept bets now and my limits at some of the corporates have been increased for the first time ever. I believe Pinnacle is having an impact on the turnover for these aussie corporates, and as more and more people learn of the existence of Pinnacle sports, less and less will be bet at the poorer odds that these corporates set. Why bother betting with a bookmaker who not only offers worse odds, but will also close your account if you win? The more educated punters get, the better it is for all of us. The NHL regular season came to an end this week with a $3,100 loss. We had some big swings this season, but ending the regular season with a 3.2% ROI is damn good in my book. The Rugby had a poor week with a $2,800 loss and the NRL did OK with $1,400 added to the bank. We also welcomed back the MLB season with $4,850 profit. Another winning week for Sportpunter and a massive return for Dailyprofit members which I will talk about in a post on Thursday.
ClubGowi had a better week, adding $3,800 profit, but Jason Kelly did poorly at the Masters with a $1,050 loss.
Onto the Soccer and what a week. Football Elite made a tiny $300 profit and Football Value made $1,500, but that was the end of any profit. The Football Analyst lost a colossal $18,200. The incredible thing is that I am still in profit for this years TFA portfolio. But it really feels like a lottery, and I know most members are sitting on a big loss. Football Investor has been on a poor run and lost a further $8,450 this week. The question if stats based models perform worse at the end of the season needs to be asked. Looking at the graphs Graeme posted on twitter last night, it seems that his models do very poorly at the end of the season. Winabobatoo also had a crap week and lost $3,300. So a combined Soccer tipster loss of $28,150.
Not the worst losing week and there were a number of positives. The AFL is once again looking good and the other SP models continue to contribute. My only concern at the moment is the limits on MLB. They are set very low and I hope Pinnacle up their limits soon. We start again today with another big midweek soccer night. Are there any scarier two words at the moment.. SOCCER & MIDWEEK… very scary.
Total Loss for the week was $12,053.80
[mc4wp_form]
Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $5,970,237.93
Profit/Loss: $14,359.51
POT: 0.24%
Bets Placed: 8480
Won: 2759
Lost: 3952
Half Payout: 58
Refunded: 1711
Winning %: 41.1%
Total profit per day: $361,884.35 / 1749 = $206.90
Total Turnover: $20,312,981.30
Total ROI: 1.78%
AFL H2H – SP $70,386.00 $18,707.03 26.6%
week profit/loss: 5105.03
AFL Line – SP $331,616.00 $(20,654.57) -6.2%
week profit/loss: 8166.50
NHL Totals $518,212.00 $16,573.43 3.2%
week profit/loss: -3091.69
Rugby SP $51,475.00 $3,049.90 5.9%
week profit/loss: -2762
NRL SP $69,893.00 $1,544.03 2.2%
week profit/loss: 1429.16
SP MLB $301,576.00 $15,415.60 5.1%
week profit/loss: 4865.82
ClubGowi $624,763.00 $5,907.87 0.9%
week profit/loss: 3808
GOWI $19,776.00 $3,322.28 16.8%
week profit/loss: 0
Jason Kelly Golf $13,241.93 $(7,008.53) -52.9%
week profit/loss: -1050
Betswot $9,573.00 $(7,818.00) -81.7%
week profit/loss: 0
FB Elite $212,761.00 $2,616.38 1.2%
week profit/loss: 317.50
Football Value $58,000.00 $(4,715.00) -8.1%
week profit/loss: 1500
TFA 21 $368,284.00 $(359.60) -0.1%
week profit/loss: -6614.50
TFA 41 $357,376.00 $(9,691.00) -2.7%
week profit/loss: -5414
6-21-31 $205,057.00 $13,678.72 6.7%
week profit/loss: -3114.50
D1-D6 $129,700.00 $2,950.00 2.3%
week profit/loss: 860
E1-E6 $122,540.00 $22,462.40 18.3%
week profit/loss: -3905
Mike Lindley $87,264.00 $(4,123.00) -4.7%
week profit/loss: -569
WINABOBATOO $346,655.00 $(5,176.88) -1.5%
week profit/loss: -2735.50
FBI combo $139,500.00 $9,791.20 7.0%
week profit/loss: -4000
FBI Euro $192,642.00 $5,577.20 2.9%
week profit/loss: -4442
Odds pushed out $44,750.00 $6,245.00 14.0%
week profit/loss: -500
Personal $61,625.00 $(12,363.35) -20.1%
week profit/loss: 92.41
Mistakes $13,735.00 $(13,735.00) -100.0%
week profit/loss: 0