I know that this is a great learning experience for me and if I can come out the other end, it will be very beneficial for me to have gone through these last 7 months, but right now, all I want to do is break things and call it quits. Things were once again looking great on Saturday afternoon with the total loss at a manageable -$7,000 and with a huge lineup of soccer games to look forward to and the hope that I would finally break even. The snow stopped many of the bets, but I now wish the whole continent was blanketed with the heaviest snow in the whole history of snowfall. My Sunday morning was filled with me repeatedly hitting the “n” key on my keyboard to represent yet another loss. The fact that the keyboard held up to my onslaught on that one key is testament to the great product the Logitech company has created. The same can’t be said for many of the tipsters I pay much more then my state of the art keyboard cost.
So I’m once again back to dealing with a big loss and my hopes of making a profit are all but evaporated. We have the typical culprits once again. A few weeks ago, a reader made a comment that I will need to take very seriously. He said I should really just follow Sportpunter models and up stakes on them. I am trying to create a diversified portfolio, but I think he may be onto something. I will be looking into the Sportpunter only stats and seeing how I should proceed.
Lets start with the Sportpunter models for the week. ATP has started brilliantly, added another $5,200 profit for the week. A brilliant start to the season. Any profit will be miniscule for this week as we are in the second week of the Aussie open, so very few bets for the week. NBL has been a real disappointment in the last few months. Down another $4,500 this week. NBA made $400, but the H2H bets are losing a heap, at the end of the month, I will make a decision on whether I continue to follow these models.
Onto Soccer, where do I even start? The only bright spot was XX Draws with a $2,000 profit. Football Elite went 0 from 2 for -$4,000 and Skeeve is within a few losses of losing 100% of the starting bank, something that no other tipster I have followed has done. I understand he is struggling himself, but his emails do not instill any confidence in me. He really must start thinking of his clients and how they are dealing with these massive losses. 0 from 2 as well for $-3,000. Combo Football Investor has been on a terrible run in the new year, a further $5,300 lost this week, a bigger loss then FB Elite and Skeeve, but when the system is still achieving a 10% ROI for the season, it is much easier to give back profits then add to losses. The Football Analyst Established lost $3,600 and Euro lost $4,000. Last week was brilliant, and this week gave it all back and more.
Next weeks total will be based mostly on how the midweek and weekend Soccer bets go, I’m hoping for a major turnaround, but sadly am not expecting it.
Total loss for the week was $16,626.96
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $2,020,260.91
Profit/Loss: $(27,312.12)
POT: -1.35%
Bets Placed: 3,230
Won: 1,282
Lost: 1,871
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 75
Winning %: 40.7%
Profit per day: $88,771.60 / 937 = $94.74
ATP – SP $258,400.00 $7,244.10 2.8%
week profit/loss: 5243.03
NBL Totals $82,989.00 $(4,724.26) -5.7%
week profit/loss: -4611.08
NBL Line $47,679.00 $(3,098.04) -6.5%
week profit/loss: 139.50
NBA Totals $135,781.00 $12,244.02 9.0%
week profit/loss: 1351.08
NBA H2H $76,260.00 $5,543.35 7.3%
week profit/loss: -963.99
XX Draws $39,000.00 $465.00 1.2%
week profit/loss: -500
XX Draws Under $39,000.00 $(1,824.00) -4.7%
week profit/loss: 309.50
XX Extended $87,000.00 $1,491.00 1.7%
week profit/loss: -365
XX Extended Under $87,000.00 $4,915.50 5.7%
week profit/loss: 2597.50
FB Elite $130,819.00 $(13,574.97) -10.4%
week profit/loss: -4000
Skeeve $102,814.00 $(24,160.24) -23.5%
week profit/loss: -3000
Combo FI $134,000.00 $13,483.50 10.1%
week profit/loss: -5290
6-22 $43,500.00 $222.00 0.5%
week profit/loss: -1875
7-21 $69,110.00 $1,574.50 2.3%
week profit/loss: -1425
7-22 $28,560.00 $(4,225.50) -14.8%
week profit/loss: -1125
8-21 $31,875.00 $(931.87) -2.9%
week profit/loss: 825
8-22 $18,388.00 $(2,659.37) -14.5%
week profit/loss: 0
E1-E7 $36,000.00 $(849.37) -2.4%
week profit/loss: -1721.25
E2-E6 $38,625.00 $5,233.13 13.5%
week profit/loss: -101.25
E2-E7 $19,500.00 $467.63 2.4%
week profit/loss: -240
E3-E6 $16,125.00 $3,231.75 20.0%
week profit/loss: -1125
E3-E7 $9,375.00 $806.25 8.6%
week profit/loss: -750