2016 starts with a nice return. It got off to a fantastic start, stayed between the $30 – $50,000 mark for most of the month and after jumping over the $60,000 mark it gave half of it back on the last few days. I would take that return every single month if it was offered to me. It’s been a lot less stressful having to write a monthly post, always having to concentrate on the very short term has not served me well. I can see myself eventually moving to quarterly updates but for this year we will stick with monthly. I also assumed site traffic would drop off with me posting less, but it has kept increasing. Along with these updates I’m hoping to publish two other articles each month.

So in January I bet a total of $646,090.00 and made a profit of $30,850.00 which is a 4.77% ROI. The swing between trough and peak was $74,430.00. I placed 511 bets and won 190 of them, lost 294 and 27 were refunded.

Let’s break it down into each individual sport.

NFL

The NFL was the star performer for the month with a combined $58,230.00 return. Most of that came in the final round of the regular season. The playoffs also produced a high percentage of winning bets.

NFL Total bets

$68,850.00 was bet on totals and $28,320.00 profit was made at 41.1% ROI. I placed 18 bets and won 11 of them. This recouped all the losses throughout the season and finally bought the total P/L back to a tiny profit. It has been a poor year for what is normally the stronger NFL model.

NFL Line bets

$41,350.00 was bet on the line and $29,910.00 profit was made at 72.3% ROI. I placed 17 bets and won 14 of them. This goes to show that even over a month period that variance plays a massive role. It has been an amazing season for the line bets.

Soccer

Soccer got off to a great start and was sitting on $25,000 profit half way through the month. It gave that all back and more by the end of the month. The Soccer combo system performed well with $226,800 bet and a $11,750 return at 5.2%. The TFA models dragged the returns down with the Euro bets losing $2,720 at –7.1% and the Draw system losing a massive $12,480 at -37.3%. From all the emails this year, there is a huge chance the TFA model won’t be around next season (at least in it’s current format).

In total, $299,300.00 was bet for a $2,180 loss at -0.7% ROI.

NHL

I think the graph below tells you everything you need to know. A shocking month for the NHL. $61,870.00 bet which resulted in a loss of $10,180.00 at -16.5% ROI. Patterns keep repeating and I stupidly keep following.

NBA

That same pattern also happens every season in the NBA. Come January and the model flips and seems to give all the profit back. This season Jonno had told me the changes he made should fix that, it seems they have not.

NBA H2H lost $6,040.00 at a -27.8% ROI and Totals lost $8,460.00 at -8.6% ROI. I have stopped following the H2H bets but will continue on with totals.

NBL

This will be my last NBL season. There are too many issues with following it. Hard to get a bet on, model not being player based and not adjusting quickly enough to team tactics. I will look through all past results to see if there is an edge somewhere but after this season ends I will be done with the NBL.

The Line bets did well in January with $31,770.00 bet for a $6,270.00 profit. The totals continued their terrible season with $98,490.00 bet for a loss of $8,460.00.

The NBA and NHL dragged down the profits this month, but it was the other american sport which easily covered those losses and helped end the month very nicely. I’ll do a season review for the NFL next week. It’s a great feeling getting a new year off to a positive start. 2015 was a poor year and I hope that 2016 does a little better.

This is also your final chance to join Dailyprofit at the cheapest level for the upcoming AFL season, prices increase in a few days. In about 6 weeks we will also be releasing our first ever Horse racing service and it will be limited to 50 members and current Dailyprofit members will be allowed to join first. If there are any spots left it will then be opened to all.

Total Profit for the month was $30,850.00

[mc4wp_form]

Stats Year 6
Total bet amount: $4,172,980.00
Profit/Loss: $26,100.00
POT: 0.63%
Bets Placed: 3281
Won: 1232
Lost: 1680
Half Payout: 24
Refunded: 345
Winning %: 42.3%
Total profit per day: $412,160.00 / 2041 = $201.94
Total Turnover: $26,059,010.00
Total ROI: 1.58%

NBL Totals $149,730.00 $(22,480.00) -15.0%
month profit/loss: -6160

NBL Line $171,300.00 $4,450.00 2.6%
month profit/loss: 8940

NHL Totals $251,060.00 $(6,690.00) -2.7%
month profit/loss: -7170

NFL Totals $394,890.00 $730.00 0.2%
month profit/loss: 17270

NFL Line $336,380.00 $44,490.00 13.2%
month profit/loss: 29910

NBA Totals $388,800.00 $12,230.00 3.1%
month profit/loss: -4260

NBA H2H $125,930.00 $3,510.00 2.8%
month profit/loss: -5890

Soccer combo $860,130.00 $32,870.00 3.8%
month profit/loss: 7400

E1-E6 $93,500.00 $(13,850.00) -14.8%
month profit/loss: -2720

D1-D6 $92,500.00 $(9,840.00) -10.6%
month profit/loss: -12480

Steamers $5,000.00 $(1,560.00) -31.2%
month profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly $7,050.00 $(3,810.00) -54.0%
month profit/loss: 0

Betswot $3,610.00 $(920.00) -25.5%
month profit/loss: 0

Odds Pushed Out $21,500.00 $40 0.2%
month profit/loss: 520

Personal $319,230.00 $(10,210.00) -3.2%
month profit/loss: 0

Mistake $5.550.00 $6,270.00 113.0%
month profit/loss: 2520