I check how many visitors I get to my site once in a while and even though this blog is more to keep myself accountable it’s nice to see that people take an interest in what I’m trying to achieve. I guess that’s the goal for most of you reading this blog. To emulate what little success I have had. I’m sure there are a few waiting for my demise and that day may come, if I was a betting man I would say there is a 30% chance of that still happening. But every now and again I get a comment on a post that boosts my ego. I got one this week so thought I would share it in the hopes of others telling me how wonderful I am. If you have read the blog for a while, why not post a comment. Even if it’s to let me know what a dick I am.
Matt W says June 10, 2013 at 5:36 am
Long time reader, first time commentor here.
I love your honest, witty writing style.
I’d love to buy your manifesto!
Why don’t you sit down at a cafe over there in Italy and bash it out?
I’d love to read a book your wrote! Maybe include tips about mindset (yours is awesome), Best bookies, mistakes you made. Also, I’d love to know which credit cards you’ve used to fund your accounts, and which offered the best frequent flyer bonuses.
Hope your luck changes. I’m sure it will.
Ciao
Matt W.
So after the self praise, lets move onto this weeks results.
AFL sucked again this week. Losing another $11,000. Over the last 3 weeks the total loss has been $25,000. A very worrying sign. The 3 big bets all lost this week while the smaller ones won. Need that to reverse very quickly. This is one of the models I pin my hopes on each season. I really expect nothing less then $75,000 profit from it. I know that’s asking a lot, but I think its the best model I have ever followed. Being a new player based model this year, I should have been more cautious. Time will tell.
The good news this week is that everything else made a profit, but sadly by everything I mean MLB, Tennis and NRL. Baseball had an amazing week to arrest the slide it had been on. H2H made $5,900 and Totals impressed with $5,500 profit. A great week. Tennis made a small $1,700 profit and OTP NRL made the same amount.
A profit is a profit, but just 1 of those AFL losers turning into a win and it makes it a $10,000 week. I’ll keep plugging away, only a few weeks left for year 3. Who knows where it will end.
Total profit for the week was $3,720.24
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,760,832.91
Profit/Loss: $40,824.60
POT: 1.09%
Bets Placed: 5,840
Won: 2,384
Lost: 3,294
Half Payout: 3
Refunded: 159
Winning %: 42.0%
Profit per day: $156,908.32 / 1077 = $145.69
AFL H2H – SP $76,256.00 $12,234.18 16.0%
week profit/loss: -1853.75
AFL Line – SP $410,663.00 $(11,587.92) -2.8%
week profit/loss: -9314.50
ATP – SP $468,931.00 $9,136.98 1.9%
week profit/loss: 1750.83
OTP NRL $36,250.00 $(2,923.25) -8.1%
week profit/loss: 1755
MLB H2H $113,987.00 $20,976.06 18.4%
week profit/loss: 5914.61
MLB Totals $183,894.00 $1,299.86 0.7%
week profit/loss: 5468.05