May 15th – May 21st +$11,610.35
This week, thanks to AFL I recouped last weeks profit. Now I need this coming week to recover the $30,000 loss the week before.
AFL had a great week, bringing in $15,000 profit. The banks are slowly increasing and the bets are getting bigger each week, I’ll be very happy if they are doubled by the end of the year.
Pretty much everything else broke even, making a few hundred or losing a few hundred. The only disaster was TFA Euro again, for the 3rd straight week it was 1 win from a heap of bets. I have never seen a run this bad, and I have followed FB Elite all season. Another $6,000 loss for the week. These Euro bets were at $30,000 profit earlier in the season, after the last month they now sit at $1,700. Talking of Fb Elite, just the one bet this week and finally a winner, but his 3 season long bets all lost, so a tiny win for the week. Only a week left for some leagues, but Soccer is pretty much over for the season. Not a great season at all, with only a 1.1% ROI. I will do a more detailed post when all leagues are complete.
A very nice return this week. I’m hoping next week will see me get close to that $200,000 profit mark once again.
Total profit for the week was $11,610.35
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,552,030.91
Profit/Loss: $60,688.77
POT: 1.71%
Bets Placed: 5,567
Won: 2,265
Lost: 3,151
Half Payout: 3
Refunded: 148
Winning %: 41.8%
Profit per day: $176,772.49 / 1056 = $167.39
AFL H2H – SP $67,617.00 $14,797.18 21.9%
week profit/loss: 4347.50
AFL Line – SP $352,909.00 $10,047.65 2.8%
week profit/loss: 10591.50
ATP – SP $431,842.00 $10,548.09 2.4%
week profit/loss: -358.91
OTP NRL $27,500.00 $(3,030.75) -11.0%
week profit/loss: 477.50
MLB H2H $80,105.00 $16,512.95 20.6%
week profit/loss: 847.68
MLB Totals $133,206.00 $(1,445.54) -1.1%
week profit/loss: -894.17
XX Draws $69,000.00 $(10,637.50) -15.4%
week profit/loss: 450
XX Draws Under $69,000.00 $(2,510.00) -3.6%
week profit/loss: 1015
XX Extended $153,000.00 $13,571.00 8.9%
week profit/loss: -960
XX Extended Under $152,694.00 $2,740.50 1.8%
week profit/loss: 577
FB Elite $294,819.00 $(31,198.97) -10.6%
week profit/loss: 816
Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0
Combo FI $252,229.00 $14,434.50 5.7%
week profit/loss: 765
6-22 $73,315.00 $7,766.75 10.6%
week profit/loss: 0
7-21 $117,485.00 $10,867.00 9.2%
week profit/loss: 0
7-22 $49,185.00 $4,625.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: 0
8-21 $57,125.00 $9,032.88 15.8%
week profit/loss: 0
8-22 $31,513.00 $1,584.13 5.0%
week profit/loss: 0
E1-E7 $75,830.00 $(1,589.74) -2.1%
week profit/loss: -1188.75
E2-E6 $87,412.00 $(2,502.61) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -2250
E2-E7 $44,625.00 $4,037.26 9.0%
week profit/loss: -1500
E3-E6 $32,250.00 $(923.25) -2.9%
week profit/loss: -750
E3-E7 $18,375.00 $2,673.75 14.6%
week profit/loss: -375
Just about to start a fund like you have, but probably betting solely Sportpunter models.
I remember you saying a while back that your performance would have been better if you stuck to SP models, is this still the case?
Also, what do you use to keep record of all your betting, as it is quite substantial. I could imagine this completely buzzing out an excel sheet/s
Thanks in advance,
Carl
Hey Carl,
I’ll look into just sportpunter models a little later.
Since July 1st 2012 following Tennis, MLB, NBA, NBL, AFL I am $62,457 in profit with $1.65mil bet. A 3.7% ROI. So it is doing better then everything else.
I use the spreadsheet found here. It’s awesome
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/betting-tracker-excel-worksheet/
Ok, looked at the numbers for SP models only. I’ve stopped following a number of them as there were a few that were a disaster.
Total Bet: $6,368,325
Profit: $187,875
ROI: 2.9%
So a 1% better ROI then the rest combined. By just concentrating on the big models, I feel you could hit 5%.
I will continue with other models as some have merit and should add some nice profit, it’s just an issue of finding the right ones.
Hope this info helped.
Thanks heaps mate.
I am looking at probably sticking to SP models. Although XX draws look good too. Only betting on bookies that I won’t get limited at, makes it easier in the long run and also makes it quicker to place bets. Will look at betting at marathon and some of the euro books once my bet size is big enough to give the most benefit of getting a few bets through the books before being limited. Marathon looks exceptionally tasty.
I remember you saying that you stopped betting football due to the time constraint, I made a spreadsheet that applies the varying levels of overlays for the soccer model based on Jon’s analysis a while back. Give me an email if you’re interested and I’ll send it through. Greatly reduces the time of placing the soccer bets.
Cheers,
Carl
How many Bets is all those SP bets over?
Just so I can work out average betsize and potential roll based on conservative kelly.
Cheers,
Carl
I will not be following XX Draws next season. I will be posting about each soccer model in the coming weeks and why I will or will not be continuing to follow each model.
If you are after a soccer model, I highly recommend TFA. Tell him Steve sent you 🙂
Your right about betting only at bookies you wont get limited at, that’s what I do now. If you haven’t signed up to Pinnacle yet, then do that now. There’s a link to your left. I would say 80% of my bets are placed there, followed by Betfair, Sbobet and then the Aussie books just for AFL and NRL.
Marathon will limit you within a week. But join all the bookies you can to get started and take advantage of their freebets, by just joining them all and getting the signup bonuses, you should be able to make a few grand fairly easily.
Thanks for the offer, but I have more then enough Soccer models I am following and am putting most of my faith in TFA next season. I had a very decent season with him, and his past results and the way he runs the service are very much like Sportpunter.
But I wouldn’t mind chatting to you, so email me at admin at this domain and if I can help in anyway just let me know.
Sadly my data isn’t that deep. But if you go to the Sportpunter website and look at the history then you can see the number of bets.
Hope this helped.
Steve