May 20th – May 26th +$23,622.98

Profit baby. I did not feel I would be able to type those words again this season. Alas, gambling is always full of surprises and once again my limited thinking was proved wrong again. If not for a woeful Hawthorn performance, this weeks profit would have been the first +50k week. Sure the profit is a mammoth $300 which is less than $1 per day, but that word… PROFIT… ahhh it seemed so normal for the past 4 years and only when you realise you might not be able to use that word for a seasons worth of betting do you understand the power of a simple word. We still have a month of betting to go in year 5, so there are no guarantees, but I would love to be able to end my 5th year of betting being able to say “I have never had a losing year”. We will see if I can utter those words in another 35 days. The below may leave you with a sense of deja vu, but I will re-quote the quote i quoted last week.

Here was a direct quote from last week about Sportpunter.

I long for those weeks where every SP model performs and I can easily make a $30,000 profit from them.

Last week Sportpunter models added $28,210 profit and I ended saying (jokingly) that it was not $30k so I will expect that this week. Sadly Sportpunter models only added $22,794 this week, so once again I expect it to perform better next week. The AFL model is the only one I use a moving bank for and as we have had a few winning weeks, the bets have been getting bigger. The biggest bet of the week was on Hawthorn who pretty much lost the game in the first quarter before staging a comeback and letting it go in the final few minutes. Happily most of the other bets won and that meant a $5,000 profit was made on the AFL. The only losing model this week was the Super 15 and it has been very poor for the past month. $2,500 was lost this week. The NRL only had a few games and the bigger bet managed to get up which resulted in $2,600 profit. NHL made $4,600 but all I am doing is betting on the over in every single game in the finals. The really big winner this week was the MLB model. On Thursday I was up in Sydney and did not check the results until I had got home that night. A perfect 10 from 10 on the MLB. Last season for a bit of fun I decided to place a $100 multi on the MLB bets everyday. I actually thought there was value in it as there had been 2 days that season where all 9 bets had won. I completely forgot to do it again this season. Those 10 bets would have given me a $710.65 multi. There goes $71,000. But I can’t be too unhappy with the weekly results, last week MLB returned $11,200 and this week it returned $13,100. Although that number should be a bit less, as in my haste to place the bets as quickly as possible I made two mistakes and bet on the other side, when this happens, I let those bets run and luckily the mistake bets both won for an extra $4,050 profit, but that is really an $8,000 turnaround. My mistake bets have still cost me $9,700 this year. In the last fortnight the Sportpunter models have made me over $51,000, when these models are hot, they are very hot and easily outweigh the losses from losing weeks. Dailyprofit members have made about 20 units in the past 2 weeks from a 40 unit bank. Like I keep saying, profits from betting come in clumps. You just have to have the bank to see you through the long hard losing runs.

 

 

Onto the other tipsters and ClubGowi went on a bit of a golden run again, but this was off the back of an absolute nightmare run and most winners were tipped in lower leagues where I just can’t get near the quoted odds. So while most members would have had a great week, I ended up losing $2,400. Of course I bet against a few bets as the odds had swung massively in the other direction and that cost me an extra $450. Betswot had a few golf bets which lost $300.

This week also wrapped up the majority of the Soccer leagues. I really won’t miss chasing prices and losing money. I’ll be doing a full review of all the services over the break and while doing them I will also reveal a new addition to the Daily25 website. This week Football Value lost $1,000, TFA lost $2,000, Football Investor combo bets lost $150 and Winabob picked the Arsenal midweek draw to make $3,050 profit. Next season it is highly unlikely I will follow individual tipsters, I have talked many times about a hybrid system and I will also take advice from a few others on the best way to proceed.

The 3rd winning week in a row and I passed the $7 million turnover mark this past week. The goal this year was to bet $8 million and return 2% for a $160,000 profit. The return this year currently sits at 0.00%. With Soccer ending, we will fall short of the $8 million mark and we will definitely fall short of that 2% return. There are between $35,000 – $50,000 worth of losses I should have avoided this year, but this quest is an ongoing learning experience and it means that I won’t make the same mistakes again (hopefully). The last 330 days do seem to be for nothing, but the lessons learned are worth a lot more than money.

It’s as if we are starting from scratch again, with a little over a month left and potential swings in the $40k range each week, we could end the season +or- $160k, but more than likely it will be a small loss or profit. I’m wishing for the latter. Until next week.

Total Profit for the week was $23,622.98

[mc4wp_form]

Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $7,046,563.93
Profit/Loss: $300.52
POT: 0.00%
Bets Placed: 9587
Won: 3094
Lost: 4483
Half Payout: 67
Refunded: 1943
Winning %: 40.8%
Total profit per day: $347,825.36 / 1791 = $194.20
Total Turnover: $21,389,307.30
Total ROI: 1.63%

AFL H2H – SP $120,749.00 $21,895.53 18.1%
week profit/loss: 1784.50

AFL Line – SP $478,164.00 $(6,445.30) -1.3%
week profit/loss: 3255.35

NHL Totals $667,824.00 $12,462.56 1.9%
week profit/loss: 4577.53

Rugby SP $86,926.00 $(4,025.60) -4.6%
week profit/loss: -2499

NRL SP $101,067.00 $5,254.00 5.2%
week profit/loss: 2610

SP MLB $558,866.00 $39,214.71 7.0%
week profit/loss: 13067.10

ClubGowi $732,563.00 $(2,977.25) -0.4%
week profit/loss: -2395

GOWI $19,776.00 $3,322.28 16.8%
week profit/loss: 0

Jason Kelly Golf $15,191.93 $(8,958.53) -59.0%
week profit/loss: 0

Betswot $10,123.00 $(8,368.00) -82.7%
week profit/loss: -300

FB Elite $216,641.00 $(763.62) -0.4%
week profit/loss: 0

Football Value $65,000.00 $(9,015.00) -13.9%
week profit/loss: -1000

TFA 21 $408,117.00 $(13,463.10) -3.3%
week profit/loss: 423.50

TFA 41 $397,876.00 $(17,346.00) -4.4%
week profit/loss: -1000

6-21-31 $225,757.00 $8,771.22 3.9%
week profit/loss: -500

D1-D6 $139,700.00 $9,225.00 6.6%
week profit/loss: 0

E1-E6 $164,725.00 $29,250.40 17.8%
week profit/loss: -885

Mike Lindley $103,764.00 $(8,123.00) -7.8%
week profit/loss: 0

WINABOBATOO $385,555.00 $(212.38) -0.1%
week profit/loss: 3050.50

FBI combo $162,292.00 $7,660.60 4.7%
week profit/loss: -153

FBI Euro $221,592.00 $(10,335.30) -4.7%
week profit/loss: 0

Odds pushed out $52,750.00 $4,014.50 7.6%
week profit/loss: -455.50

Personal $72,573.00 $(14,007.60) -19.3%
week profit/loss: 0

Mistakes $17,735.00 $(9,693.00) -54.7%
week profit/loss: 4042