Another terrible week, the end of the soccer season can’t come soon enough. It seems easy to say that the soccer results are due to the fact that some teams have no motivation at the end of the season, but all the models past performance shows a profit during these periods, so it’s just variance this year. It’s been a real comedown from just 2 weeks ago, where I was 1 win short of reaching $100,000 for the year. Just need to keep plugging away and hope for another run like I had at the start of the year. This poor run can easily last for 6-8 months like it did at the start of the season. The sad fact of the matter is that I will have many more lean periods then amazing periods, I just need to accept that.
The highlight this week was the return to form of the AFL model, for many subscribers it would have been an amazing week. It was a good week for me, but another half point loss really put a dampener on things. This is the 4th one this year and I have been the wrong side on all of them bar 1. Hopefully the next half point result will go in my favor. A profit of just over $10,000 for the week.
Tennis has been on a bad run these last 2 weeks, losing a further $2,200 this week. With the French coming up, this doesn’t bode to well. Onthepunt Nrl Guru went 0 from 3 for -$2,500. The MLB H2H’s continued a good run with another $2,000 profit, but totals have gone completely off the boil. A $6,000 loss this week and that brings the totals into negative for the first time this season. I’m very glad I decided to follow both this season, as by looking at the histories, I should have only followed totals.
I didn’t think the TFA Euros could get any worse then last week where not 1 game won, well this week we have 3 winners but another massive loss of $8,200, that’s a $17,200 loss in 2 weeks on these systems. XX Draws should have lost $2,550 but I missed a bet which saved me $1,000. Combo Football Investor has also had a terrible end to the season, early on we were sitting well above $20,000 profit, but after another $2,400 loss this week we are much closer to $10,000 now. Only 1 week to go in the season and I’m looking at a very small return for a lot of work this year.
A real crap two weeks. The swings will be very dependent on AFL from now, as that is the most heavily bet sport with very few games each week. The only other sports I will be following until the new Soccer season starts is Tennis, MLB and NRL. At least now it will only take about 4 hours of my time a week. I will be looking into Golf betting as well in the coming weeks.
Total loss for the week was $10,405.35
Stats Year 3
Total bet amount: $3,459,073.91
Profit/Loss: $49,078.42
POT: 1.42%
Bets Placed: 5,425
Won: 2,208
Lost: 3,073
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 142
Winning %: 42.1%
Profit per day: $165,162.14/ 1049 = $157.44
AFL H2H – SP $63,975.00 $10,449.68 16.3%
week profit/loss: 3311.90
AFL Line – SP $328,929.00 $(543.85) -0.2%
week profit/loss: 7022.20
ATP – SP $423,402.00 $10,907.00 2.6%
week profit/loss: -2199.63
OTP NRL $25,000.00 $(3,508.25) -14.0%
week profit/loss: -2500
MLB H2H $71,961.00 $15,665.27 21.8%
week profit/loss: 1980.70
MLB Totals $115,455.00 $(551.37) -0.5%
week profit/loss: -5877.02
XX Draws $67,500.00 $(11,087.50) -16.4%
week profit/loss: -887.50
XX Draws Under $67,500.00 $(3,525.00) -5.2%
week profit/loss: -1625
XX Extended $148,500.00 $14,531.00 9.8%
week profit/loss: 695
XX Extended Under $148,194.00 $2,163.50 1.5%
week profit/loss: 266.50
FB Elite $290,819.00 $(32,014.97) -11.0%
week profit/loss: 0
Skeeve $148,919.00 $(1,833.64) -1.2%
week profit/loss: 0
Combo FI $247,229.00 $13,669.50 5.5%
week profit/loss: -2395
6-22 $73,315.00 $7,766.75 10.6%
week profit/loss: 0
7-21 $117,485.00 $10,867.00 9.2%
week profit/loss: 0
7-22 $49,185.00 $4,625.25 9.4%
week profit/loss: 0
8-21 $57,125.00 $9,032.88 15.8%
week profit/loss: 0
8-22 $31,513.00 $1,584.13 5.0%
week profit/loss: 0
E1-E7 $73,580.00 $(400.99) -0.5%
week profit/loss: 135
E2-E6 $85,162.00 $(252.61) -0.3%
week profit/loss: -3457.5
E2-E7 $43,125.00 $5,537.26 12.8%
week profit/loss: -1875
E3-E6 $31,500.00 $(173.25) -0.6%
week profit/loss: -1875
E3-E7 $17,625.00 $3,048.75 17.3%
week profit/loss: -1125