November 2018 Review +$14,510.00
November was another great month for the NBA and NFL models. It was never going to live up to Octobers amazing results (+$54,730.00), but I’ll take $14,510.00 every month. As I keep saying, this is the time of year I love. Literally less than a minute to place bets each day and more than enough liquidity to take my bets without issue. As always, you can follow along with my exact bets by joining the Sportpunter service at DailyProfit.
In total, November saw turnover of $152,560.00 for a profit of $14,510.00 at 9.51% ROI.
I placed 154 bets over the month and won 82, lost 71 and 1 was refunded.
NFL
The NFL totals continued to shine in November. I turned over $52,170.00 and made a profit of $8,030.00 at 15.4%. I placed 44 bets and won 29 of them.
NBA
The NBA totals model slowed down in November, if you can call a 6.5% ROI slowing down. I placed 109 bets and won 53 of them. Turnover was $100,390.00 and the profit was $6,480.00.
You can follow along with all the same NBA and NFL picks by signing up to Dailyprofit ($98 AUD per month)
Total Profit for November was $14,510.00
[mc4wp_form]
Stats Year 8/9
Total bet amount: $2,594,850.00
Profit/Loss: $87,760.00
POT: 3.38%
Bets Placed: 1769
Won: 910
Lost: 839
Half Payout: 2
Refunded: 18
Winning %: 52.0%
Total profit per day: $416,340.00 / 3074 = $135.44
Total Turnover: $32,841,160.00
Total ROI: 1.26%
| Sport/Tipster | Wagered | Profit/Loss | ROI | Nov P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL H2H | $224,010.00 | $0.00 | -1.3% | $0.00 |
| AFL Line | $452,680.00 | $0.00 | -5.0% | $0.00 |
| NRL H2H | $441,860.00 | $0.00 | -1.4% | $0.00 |
| NRL Totals | $79,240.00 | $0.00 | 2.2% | $0.00 |
| NBA Totals | $762,240.00 | $90,090.00 | 11.8% | $6,480.00 |
| NBA H2H | $208,240.00 | $0.00 | -6.6% | $0.00 |
| NFL Totals | $294,230.00 | $37,550.00 | 12.8% | $8,030.00 |
| NFL Line | $143,070.00 | $0.00 | 2.1% | $0.00 |
| Mistakes | $16,280.00 | $0.00 | 3.6% | $0.00 |
| Total | $2,594,850.00 | $87,760.00 | 3.38% | $14,510.00 |
Hi Steve,
I’m trying to come to grips with some of your figures and the appropriate bankroll needed to bet at the level you do with the % profit shown.
Lets say that your average bet is $1200 and the price you take is 1.95 with a POT of 1.27 then by my reckoning the bankroll needed at 1/4 Kelly (rather be conservative) is $370k.
Hi Nick,
I use the calculator from Sportpunter
http://www.sportpunter.com/sports/basketball/nba/
My Totals bank is $100k with a kelly of 1/20. I use the same bank for the NFL.
Nick; are you saying that punters should have a Million dollar bankroll if they want to do $500+ a game. Assuming 100+ bets a month?