We had what is being termed black Saturday with the Soccer services this weekend. With well over $100,000 worth of bets it was going to be a make or break night, and with SP doing its usual awesome job during the week and then an early soccer win, I was sitting on -$30,000 for the season and was hoping the night panned out well and I would be back on my way towards parity. Nothings ever that simple with betting and after tallying up the results at 3am in the morning, I was now sitting at my biggest loss ever in any season. I was out to -$56,000 for the year and things were looking pretty grim. Two days later and I actually made a decent profit for the week. I’m sure you have all gone through the same thing many times. There is no point in ever trying to work out where you will be short term, it’s just impossible, I have an article coming tomorrow which should hopefully help you deal with these weekly or monthly losses a little better, I’m glad I started working on it last week, as it sure helped me on Sunday morning. Football betting really has to start earning it’s keep, this season will be pivitol, if I am still at a loss after 5 years then I will become very selective in which services I choose. Most will get the cut and I will be betting much less and more for the enjoyment then profit. I’m hoping it’s a decision I don’t have to make.
Ahh, Sportpunter. Where would I be without you. I know where, in a ditch somewhere outside a TAB begging for a few bucks to put on a multi. $12,600 profit over all SP models this week. NBL Totals has sucked badly, but that’s more then made up for with the Line bets. Totals lost $5,100 but Line bets made $11,200. Already being limited by the likes of Beteasy and I’m having to take much worse odds and lines just to get matched. The NHL totals continues to shine, but I’m sure like last season it will go in waves. Months of amazing profit, followed by a month of losses. I’m just glad it started with the profit part. $6,500 this week. This week also sees the start of the NBA, looking forward to another great first half of the season.
ClubGowi lost $1,200, Diamond edge lost $500, but PCG came back with $4,600 profit. I really hope the service turns around. Hopefully the NFL season and new NBA season change that. Jason Kelly Golf also lost $275.
Onto the Soccer. In total I lost $8,800. The loss was well over $25,000 until Sunday night. Once again there was more talk on Twitter on the best way to record odds. There were multiple bets on Exeter this week and I never even got close to get the odds on any service. Winabobatoo recorded the win at a laughable $3.50, Football Investor recorded at $3.08 and The Football Analyst had $3.10. The fact that Winabobatoo routinely records at odds 15% better and still makes about the same profit at the end of the year says a lot for the other 2 guys. Sadly the best I saw (remember I wake up at least a few hours after release), was $2.86. 10% worse odds then the lowest recorded ones. This win would have added well over $6,000 profit, but I stick to my rules and if I can’t get within 6-7% then I don’t bet. Many times this season I’ve bet a team for TFA or FBI, but not backed the same team for Winabob, as I am lucky to bet 50% of the bets he recommends. It’s one service I am 100% sure I would never subscribe to again. If you have every UK book open and bet under $50 and can bet the second the tips come out, then you might be able to match the odds. I have to commend TFA and FBI for how fair they are in comparison, but still feel a lot more can be down, and it seems Stewboss (FBI) feels the same. I’d take a service breaking even at Pinnacle closing lines over one showing 20% ROI at bullshit odds. I also believe the people who pay for tips are getting smarter and the first service to do this would easily fill up his yearly subscription limit.
Football Elite lost $3,500, Football Value made $1,400, TFA made $900, Winabob lost $3,200, and Football Investor lost $4,400. My own person picks made $250.
In the end, even after one of the worst Saturdays ever, I managed to make a profit this week. Really stoked with that result. Also with Horse betting making a recovery, October is shaping up to be a good month. Maybe the comeback is starting early this season.
Total Profit for the week was $6,221.14
[mc4wp_form]
Stats Year 5
Total bet amount: $2,072,369.93
Profit/Loss: -$33,723.94
POT: -1.63%
Bets Placed: 3137
Won: 1135
Lost: 1494
Half Payout: 31
Refunded: 477
Winning %: 43.2%
Total profit per day: $313,800.90 / 1581 = $198.48
Total Turnover: $16,415,113.30
Total ROI: 1.91%
NBL Totals $13,053.00 $(10,774.68) -82.5%
week profit/loss: -5076.68
NBL Line $37,425.00 $12,260.13 32.8%
week profit/loss: 11,184.23
SP MLB $255,254.00 $9,449.78 3.7%
week profit/loss: 64.35
NFL Totals $59,102.00 $9,335.96 15.8%
week profit/loss: -35.76
NHL Totals $25,029.00 $8,539.06 34.1%
week profit/loss: 6505.20
ClubGowi $268,663.00 $8,734.96 3.3%
week profit/loss: 1298
GOWI $8,932.00 $(1,841.00) -20.6%
week profit/loss: -2500
Diamond Edge $150,000.00 $1,922.00 1.3%
week profit/loss: -500
PCG $132,217.00 $(3,425.71) -2.6%
week profit/loss: 4583.50
Jason Kelly Golf $7,466.93 $(6,076.93) -81.4%
week profit/loss: -275
Betswot $7,463.00 $(5,708.00) -76.5%
week profit/loss: 0
FB Elite $25,250.00 $(3,687.50) -14.6%
week profit/loss: -3515
Football Value $18,000.00 $(435.00) -2.4%
week profit/loss: 1380
TFA 21 $78,109.00 $(5,614.30) -7.2%
week profit/loss: -668.30
TFA 41 $78,100.00 $(9,046.00) -11.6%
week profit/loss: -6042.50
6-21-31 $45,207.00 $1,375.72 3.0%
week profit/loss: 557.50
D1-D6 $24,500.00 $2,480.00 10.1%
week profit/loss: 2315
E1-E6 $6,000.00 $5,605.00 93.4%
week profit/loss: 4775
Mike Lindley $21,500.00 $(3,535.00) -16.4%
week profit/loss: -590
WINABOBATOO $91,000.00 $(11,225.00) -12.3%
week profit/loss: -2591
FBI combo $42,500.00 $3,757.00 8.8%
week profit/loss:-3075
FBI Euro $10,000.00 $(4,345.00) -43.5%
week profit/loss:-1345
Odds pushed out $5,500.00 $635.00 11.5%
week profit/loss: 70
Personal $3,075.00 $(986.55) -32.1%
week profit/loss: 253.45