I’m a fan of the NRL, over the years I have enjoyed it less and less and now I prefer to watch an AFL game over an NRL game, but I still follow it and enjoy a good game. As with any sport, having a bet on the games can make them a little more exciting. I know that if I was to bet with my own opinion then I would lose a lot of money, I know this from many very expensive lessons and why I only follow proven models.
Normally I would follow the Sportpunter model, but I know Jonno has put very little time into this model and it has never performed well. Hopefully he dedicates some time to it this off season and creates a player based model like the AFL model and I can start making a fortune on it too. Until then, I have stuck with the onthepunt tipster. I have no real idea who produces the tips and if it is even the same guy each season, but the results are pretty good. I also am betting low amounts and in a good season I might win $10,000. This really is just me having some interest in the league.
As with any model I follow, I want to at least know that the results that are recorded are close to my own odds and results and with this tipster I can happily say that they are correct. The odds recorded are usually attainable. There was only 1 bet this season where the line moved 2 points and what was a win for the system was a loss for me. That was the main discrepancy in the results.
According to the website, and using 1 unit as $250 they bet $80,000 over the year and made $830 profit at a 1% ROI. Not a great season, but a profit nonetheless. My own results were a total bet of $77,888 and a loss of $144 at a ROI of 0%. A very close result.
I can say without hesitation that the results recorded are fair and the tipster (if it is the same guy over the last few years) knows his stuff. You might not make a fortune, but over the long run this looks to be a profitable system.